Israel and US vote cycles frame timing of Iran conflict decisions
Israel votes October 27 and US midterms follow in November, both within an unresolved US-Iran conflict window.
Event / Geopolitics
Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran including military posturing, economic sanctions through oil blockades, diplomatic negotiations, and regional military incidents affecting energy markets and Middle East stability.
2026-09-13 to 2026-10-26 · UTC publication dates
Coverage begins 13 Sept, 09:30 UTC
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The Democratic Party's official X account called Trump's comments "Disgusting and dangerous," demanding an end to the war with Iran and accountability. Journalist Jim Acosta criticized the remarks as abnormal. Former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath slammed Trump as a "lunatic," noting that the USS Lincoln was returning to San Diego after a 10+ month deployment with sailors coming home to families.
President Donald Trump made comments at a rally in Grand Island, Nebraska on Monday suggesting that Iran could attack Los Angeles or San Diego, saying "Let them take out Los Angeles. Let them take out San Diego. This is a very small price to pay." He repeated similar remarks at a rally in San Antonio, Texas on Wednesday, stating "Let them hit a missile into San Diego or Los Angeles on the way" and "Let them hit San Diego. Let them hit Los Angeles if you want to see some bad things happen."
The White House Communications Director Steven Cheung pushed back on criticism of Trump's remarks on Tuesday, stating that Trump was "clearly stating U.S. cities would have been threatened if a nuclear Iran hadn't been stopped" and dismissed media coverage as a "media freakout." Trump's response team denied that the president was calling on a foreign country to bomb U.S. cities.
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria issued statements criticizing Trump's comments, with Bass writing that the president's remarks were "dangerous and could potentially compromise our safety" and called on him to protect the country rather than threaten it. Gloria stated that "San Diego is not collateral damage. We are not expendable." Governor Gavin Newsom criticized the remarks as "dangerous—if not treasonous" and requested the State Threat Assessment Center to monitor the situation.
President Trump appeared at the Freeman Coliseum in San Antonio, Texas on Wednesday to support U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton and House candidate Carlos De La Cruz ahead of midterm elections. His speech was interrupted several times by protesters.
The military conflict between the United States and Iran has continued for more than seven to eight months. A U.S. blockade on Iran remains in effect, with Trump initially stating the conflict would last only several weeks.
National average gasoline prices remain elevated due to the ongoing Iran conflict. As of October 9, 2026, the national average for regular unleaded gasoline was $4.36 per gallon, compared to $3.11 a year earlier. Diesel prices stood at $6.28 per gallon after declining from an all-time high of over $6.50.
President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social on October 8 that the United States will not conduct military attacks on Iran prior to the November 3 midterm elections. Trump stated that while Iran faces poor economic and military conditions and a blockade remains in effect, no military action will occur before the elections. He indicated that productive negotiations with Iran are ongoing.
The Atlantic reported that the White House instructed the Pentagon to develop limited military strike options against Iran that could be executed before the midterm elections, with more substantial military action potentially under consideration after the elections.
The United States has lost or sustained damage to 81 aircraft in the conflict with Iran, with losses valued at approximately $3.3 billion.
Vice President JD Vance told reporters that the US 'do feel with some confidence that the Iranians are trying to do what the Iranian state has done for 49 years, which is engage in acts of terrorism against the United States and against a lot of other people as well.' Vance emphasized that the US was being 'extremely cautious' in response to the threat.
The United States redeployed 12 B-1 Air Force bombers from RAF Fairford, a military base approximately 90 miles west of London, back to the United States over the weekend following intelligence reports of a potential Iranian drone attack. US officials described the suspected Iranian plot as 'complex, multipronged' and aimed at destroying US aircraft and killing American service members at the base. Vice President JD Vance stated the bombers were removed 'out of an abundance of caution.'
In June 2025, Ukraine launched Operation Spider Web, a campaign of drone strikes against Russian military targets inside Russian territory. The operation involved explosives-laden drones concealed in sheds transported by semi-trucks, striking five Russian air bases across five separate regions. The operation targeted aircraft and military infrastructure. Some US officials believe the Iranian plot may have been inspired by Ukraine's successful drone tactics.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly orchestrated a plot to conduct a drone attack targeting RAF Fairford in the United Kingdom. US officials characterized the operation as a 'complex, multipronged' assault intended to destroy American military aircraft and kill US service members stationed at the base. The intelligence prompted the relocation of the B-1 bombers as a preventive measure.
British police disrupted an alleged terror plot involving five British nationals who were planning a van bomb attack against RAF Fairford. British Prime Minister Andy Burnham indicated there were 'strong indications' that the Iranian government was involved in coordinating the plot, which was believed to have targeted the airfield because of the stationed US bombers.
At a campaign rally in Grand Island, Nebraska on Monday, President Trump stated that Iran could 'take out' Los Angeles and San Diego, characterizing such attacks as 'a very small price to pay for keeping the world safe, keeping our country safe.' The crowd cheered at the remarks. Trump's comments appeared to reference ongoing conflict with Iran, though it was unclear if they were based on specific intelligence.
Trump's conflict with Iran has persisted for over six months. Trump had previously promised the war would end shortly after the midterm elections, but the conflict has continued beyond that timeframe.
Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz as a retaliatory measure against the United States following a declaration of war. This action has contributed to significant increases in gas prices.
California Governor Gavin Newsom posted on social media in response to Trump's comments, stating 'After sending the National Guard and Marines to occupy California, Donald Trump is now saying our foreign enemies should take out Los Angeles and San Diego. He is deranged and dangerous.'
San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria posted a response to Trump's remarks, stating 'San Diego is not collateral damage. We are not expendable. And we are never a small price to pay. Keep our city out of your reckless war talk.'
Israel votes October 27 and US midterms follow in November, both within an unresolved US-Iran conflict window.
Houthi-Saudi fighting has escalated in recent weeks, reportedly threatening the Bab el-Mandeb shipping corridor.
Trump rejected Iran's seven-day peace proposal in late September, after a June US-Iran deal collapsed within days.
Seven oil tankers were reported damaged in the Strait of Hormuz overnight as attacks on shipping reach their highest level since March.
Congressional control and military strikes both hinge on November midterm elections amid rising energy prices.
US withdraws bombers from UK base after foiled Iranian terror plots; tanker hit off Qatar coast.
Oil surges on Iran tensions; US voters blame rising gas prices on escalating conflict.
Trump delays Iran military action until after midterm elections while maintaining Pentagon strike readiness.
Trump campaigns in Texas while postponing Iran military action until after November elections.
Trump's remarks about Iranian attacks on US cities draw political backlash from California officials and Democratic critics.
Iran-US conflict restrictions on Strait of Hormuz petroleum flows drive sustained US gasoline price elevation.
Eight-month stalemate produces military losses for US while both parties maintain blockades and diplomatic deadlock.