Opinionway poll shows National Rally leading 2027 presidential field
RN leads 2027 polling while left-wing and centrist candidates remain fragmented across competing candidacies.
Event / Politics
Coverage of the 2027 French presidential election campaign, including candidate announcements, policy positions, and political developments across the political spectrum.
2026-08-02 to 2026-10-30 · UTC publication dates
Coverage begins 28 Mar, 12:07 UTC
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Jean-Luc Mélenchon announced his candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election as the candidate of La France insoumise (LFI), a far-left political movement. The announcement was made on TF1's 20-hour news program on Sunday, May 3, 2026. His candidacy requires 150,000 citizen endorsements to be officially registered, which is considered a formality for the founder of LFI.
Elected members of La France insoumise gathered in Paris on Sunday, May 3, 2026, to formally designate Jean-Luc Mélenchon as the party's candidate for the 2027 presidential election. This internal party selection process preceded his public announcement on national television.
In the 2022 French presidential election, Jean-Luc Mélenchon received 22 percent of votes in the first round, finishing in third place. He fell 420,000 votes short of making it to the second round runoff. This represented an increase from his 2017 performance, when he received 19.58 percent of votes.
Raphaël Glucksmann and François Hollande each maintained 22% approval ratings, while François Ruffin achieved 21% approval. These stable ratings indicate the left-wing political movement remains in search of a potential champion candidate for the 2027 presidential election.
Gabriel Attal's approval rating increased by 2 percentage points to 30% following the release of his book 'En homme libre'. The book, released the previous Thursday, discusses his father's death, his homosexuality, and school harassment he experienced. His improved rating narrows the gap with rival Édouard Philippe to just 2 percentage points, reversing a negative trend observed over the previous year.
Gabriel Attal submitted a bill proposal to authorize work on May 1st for florists and other professions. This legislative initiative was part of his recent political activities following the release of his memoir.
Bruno Retailleau's approval rating increased by 3 percentage points to 27%. The gain followed his endorsement on April 19th by three-quarters of Les Républicains (LR) members as their candidate for the 2027 presidential election.
An Odoxa survey was conducted in partnership with Mascaret for regional press and Public Sénat. The poll surveyed 1,005 French residents using quota sampling methodology on April 22-23.
Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally (RN), saw his approval rating decline by 3 percentage points to 35% in an Odoxa monthly poll published on Tuesday. The decline followed media coverage in Paris Match of his relationship with Maria Carolina de Bourbon des Deux-Siciles. Despite the negative impact on his approval rating, Bardella remains the most preferred political personality in the poll, ahead of Marine Le Pen.
La France insoumise adopted a candidate selection methodology for the 2027 presidential election. The party's parliamentary intergroup (deputies, MEPs, and mayors totaling approximately 100 elected officials) will propose a candidate based on recommendations from the party's coordination. The designation process will use consensus-based decision-making rather than direct voting among elected officials. The candidate selection is scheduled to occur before summer 2025. A roadmap outlining this process was approved by 96.6% of 68,120 party members who voted.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, founder of La France insoumise, is the favored candidate for the party's 2027 presidential nomination. Party leaders including Manuel Bompard stated that Mélenchon is the best candidate for the party and the only one currently capable of advancing the left to the second round and potentially defeating the far-right. Despite previously calling to be replaced after 2022, Mélenchon appears positioned to run for a fourth presidential campaign. Any presidential candidate from the party must collect 150,000 citizen endorsements; Mélenchon obtained these in four days before the 2022 election.
The Socialist Party is experiencing internal turmoil with several party leaders contesting Olivier Faure's leadership since the municipal elections in late March. Faure criticized the constant internal disputes, comparing the party to a permanent congress with constant conflict that exhausts and disgusts members.
Former Socialist Party first secretary Jean-Christophe Cambadélis stated on Radio J that Olivier Faure no longer has a majority within the PS, describing the party as experiencing its worst crisis since the 1960s. Cambadélis called on Faure to either resign or organize a party congress, arguing he cannot maintain his position through artifice.
Olivier Faure, first secretary of the Socialist Party (PS), stated in interviews on franceinfo and France Inter that he would be pleased to serve as the common candidate of the non-Mélenchon left for the 2027 presidential election. He emphasized support for a primary process to designate this candidate but clarified he has not yet made a final decision regarding his own candidacy.
Fabien Roussel announced that the French Communist Party will hold a congress in early July 2026 to discuss whether the party will field its own candidate in the 2027 presidential election. When asked directly, Roussel responded non-committally that the party would 'see.'
Fabien Roussel presented a counter-proposal to Manuel Bompard's coalition initiative, inviting all left-wing forces, including LFI, to work together on addressing the current energy crisis. Roussel emphasized the need for strong measures to regain control over energy policy and prevent price markups, framing this as more concrete policy work than electoral maneuvering.
Fabien Roussel stated there was a breakdown in relations with La France Insoumise, citing that LFI deputies elected in 2024 under the Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP) legislative agreement subsequently ran against communist, socialist, and ecologist mayors in the 2025 municipal elections. Roussel described this as leaving a bitter taste and causing electoral setbacks for the left.
Fabien Roussel, secretary of the French Communist Party (PCF), refused on Sunday, April 5, 2026, to accept the hand extended by La France Insoumise (LFI) for a common candidacy in the 2027 presidential election. This came in response to an appeal launched by LFI coordinator Manuel Bompard on Thursday, which proposed an agreement on the program and candidacies for senatorial and legislative elections.
Fabien Roussel stated that Jean-Luc Mélenchon is certainly the worst candidate for a second-round runoff in the 2027 presidential election. Roussel noted that right-wing figures including Jordan Bardella, Marine Le Pen, and Bruno Retailleau view Mélenchon as their best ally in a runoff because they are confident of victory against him.
Socialist Party deputy group leader Boris Vallaud and Place publique deputy Raphaël Glucksmann made peremptory declarations that Marine Tondelier criticized as claiming a monopoly on values. Some Socialist figures, including former President François Hollande, opposed the primary framework proposed by the Greens and Olivier Faure.
RN leads 2027 polling while left-wing and centrist candidates remain fragmented across competing candidacies.
Socialist mayor Bouamrane's independent candidacy multiplies left-wing candidates, deepening coalition fragmentation.
Bouamrane's independent left candidacy multiplies left-wing fragmentation despite ongoing unification attempts.
Paris court will rule on RN parliamentary scandal potentially affecting 2027 candidacy eligibility.
Bagayoko elected Saint-Denis mayor in first round, signaling local strength amid fragmented left coalition.
Socialist double primary proposal stalls as Green Party participation blocked by party disputes.
Mélenchon launches campaign with cultural star support, polling at 13-15 percent in first round.
Mélenchon held his first rally in Saint-Denis with backing from the city's new mayor, Bally Bagayoko.
Philippe launches 2027 campaign with expanded coalition structure beyond his Horizons party.
Mélenchon's 2027 candidacy emphasizes left-wing alliance potential despite persistent coalition fragmentation.
Borne exits Renaissance to lead new centrist party Bâtissons Ensemble, fragmenting the center further.
Philippe announces 2027 candidacy with Attal withdrawal agreement, expressing concerns about far-left and far-right polarization.