Opinionway poll shows National Rally leading 2027 presidential field
RN leads 2027 polling while left-wing and centrist candidates remain fragmented across competing candidacies.
Event / Politics
Coverage of the 2027 French presidential election campaign, including candidate announcements, policy positions, and political developments across the political spectrum.
2026-08-02 to 2026-10-30 · UTC publication dates
Coverage begins 28 Mar, 12:07 UTC
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Marine Le Pen is now confirmed as the official candidate of the Rassemblement National (RN) party for the upcoming French presidential election. Her candidacy represents a specific political line focused on social issues and appeal to working-class voters.
A French appellate court confirmed Marine Le Pen's conviction while declining to extend her ineligibility period, allowing her to remain eligible to run in the presidential election. The court separated the legal judgment from the political choice, leaving the final decision to voters.
Jordan Bardella, 31, president of the Rassemblement National, stated on Monday that he is prepared to assume the consequences of the court's judgment on Marine Le Pen. He declared his continued support for Le Pen and indicated the party has anticipated all possible scenarios.
The Paris appeals court is expected to issue a judgment on Tuesday afternoon regarding Marine Le Pen's legal case involving European parliamentary assistants. The ruling will determine whether she can run for a fourth time as the Rassemblement National candidate in the presidential election. If barred from running, she would be replaced by Jordan Bardella, the party president.
Jordan Bardella, 30-year-old president of the National Rally, said he was prepared to assume candidacy if Marine Le Pen became ineligible. He stated the party had anticipated all scenarios and that he would continue supporting Le Pen regardless of the court's decision. Bardella was prepared to replace Le Pen on the ballot for the 2027 presidential election if her ineligibility prevented her candidacy.
A trial court convicted 25 defendants of implementing a systematic scheme between 2004 and 2016 to pay National Rally party employees using European Parliament funds. The scheme involved hiring assistants ostensibly for parliamentary work whose activities actually benefited only the party. Only half of the convicted defendants appealed the verdict.
Prosecutors recommended a five-year ineligibility sentence for Marine Le Pen in the appeals case, which would prevent her from running in the April-May 2027 presidential election. Any ineligibility period exceeding two years would effectively end her 2027 candidacy before the campaign could begin. First instance courts had previously sentenced her to five years of ineligibility with immediate execution, four years imprisonment (two years firm with electronic monitoring), and a 100,000 euro fine.
The Paris appeals court delivered its decision on July 7, 2026 regarding Marine Le Pen's appeal in the case of misappropriated European Parliament funds. The court ruled on charges that Le Pen and the National Rally (formerly National Front) used European Parliament salary funds to pay party employees between 2004 and 2016. The decision determined whether Le Pen could run in the 2027 presidential election scheduled for April 18 and May 2, 2027.
The European Parliament suffered damages of 3.2 million euros from the misappropriation scheme involving National Rally employees paid through parliamentary salary funds. This figure was calculated after deducting 1.1 million euros already reimbursed by some defendants, establishing the net prejudice to the institution.
The National Rally (RN) and allied far-right parties maintain commanding leads in polls for the 2027 presidential election. Combined voting intention for the RN, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, and Eric Zemmour exceeds 40 percent, marking the first time since the Fifth Republic's creation that a far-right candidate could potentially be elected president.
The French appeals court will issue a ruling on July 7 regarding Marine Le Pen's ineligibility penalty in the parliamentary assistants affair at the European Parliament. The decision will determine whether Le Pen's ineligibility sentence is reduced, allowing her to run for her fourth presidential campaign, or whether Jordan Bardella will be the National Rally's candidate instead.
Policy disagreements have emerged between Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella regarding retirement age. Jordan Bardella has indicated he would not rule out raising the legal retirement age, while Marine Le Pen continues to advocate for maintaining the retirement age at 62 years, or 60 years for those with long careers.
Support for the Communist Party leadership's orientation showed a decline compared to the previous congress. In June 2026, the leadership's text received 61.4% of votes (approximately 14,800 votes), down from 81.9% approval (23,900 votes) at the 2023 congress.
Fabien Roussel announced his readiness to run as the Communist Party's presidential candidate in 2027. He stated 'I said I was ready, if you decided it, to lead this fight with you one more time.' The formal designation of the Communist candidate will occur on September 6, 2026, through a vote by party activists.
Stéphane Peu, president of the Communist group in the French National Assembly, opposed the party's decision to present a presidential candidate. He stated 'I do not think it is a good idea for the Communist Party to present a candidate,' expressing preference instead for an agreement with La France Insoumise to secure parliamentary constituencies for communists in upcoming legislative elections.
The French Communist Party decided to present a candidate from its own ranks for the 2027 presidential election. The party's leadership text affirmed that 'communists consider they have full legitimacy to put forward a unifying candidacy from their ranks for the presidential election.' This decision was approved by party activists in June with 61.4% support (approximately 14,800 votes out of 24,600 participants).
Fabien Roussel, secretary general of the French Communist Party (PCF), was reelected to his position on Sunday during the party congress in Lille with 70.1% of the vote. He has led the PCF since 2018.
Party activists rejected an internal proposal for a 'review clause' in autumn that would have allowed the party to reconsider its presidential strategy. Fabien Roussel had warned in L'Humanité that he would not accept being a candidate and simultaneously challenging his own candidacy during the campaign.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, coordinator of La France Insoumise (LFI), stated that the Communist Party's decision to present a presidential candidate disappoints him. He questioned why Fabien Roussel would receive such criticism after his leadership since 2017. This reflects ongoing tensions between LFI and the PCF stemming from the 2022 presidential election, when Roussel's 2.28% result prevented Mélenchon from reaching the second round.
Philippe directly attacked both the National Rally and La France Insoumise during his campaign launch, accusing the National Rally of ideological inconsistency and the latter of promoting community division and antisemitism. He declared he would not allow French voters to choose between two forms of anger.
RN leads 2027 polling while left-wing and centrist candidates remain fragmented across competing candidacies.
Socialist mayor Bouamrane's independent candidacy multiplies left-wing candidates, deepening coalition fragmentation.
Bouamrane's independent left candidacy multiplies left-wing fragmentation despite ongoing unification attempts.
Paris court will rule on RN parliamentary scandal potentially affecting 2027 candidacy eligibility.
Bagayoko elected Saint-Denis mayor in first round, signaling local strength amid fragmented left coalition.
Socialist double primary proposal stalls as Green Party participation blocked by party disputes.
Mélenchon launches campaign with cultural star support, polling at 13-15 percent in first round.
Mélenchon held his first rally in Saint-Denis with backing from the city's new mayor, Bally Bagayoko.
Philippe launches 2027 campaign with expanded coalition structure beyond his Horizons party.
Mélenchon's 2027 candidacy emphasizes left-wing alliance potential despite persistent coalition fragmentation.
Borne exits Renaissance to lead new centrist party Bâtissons Ensemble, fragmenting the center further.
Philippe announces 2027 candidacy with Attal withdrawal agreement, expressing concerns about far-left and far-right polarization.