Opinionway poll shows National Rally leading 2027 presidential field
RN leads 2027 polling while left-wing and centrist candidates remain fragmented across competing candidacies.
Event / Politics
French Presidential Election 2027
Coverage of the 2027 French presidential election campaign, including candidate announcements, policy positions, and political developments across the political spectrum.
2 reported locations
Daily activity
55 articles0 articles
2026-08-02 to 2026-10-30 · UTC publication dates
Coverage begins 28 Mar, 12:07 UTC
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What happened
About 68% of RN members cast ballots in the internal leadership vote
Around 68% of the party's 112,000 members took part in the internal vote held from 21 September to 22 October 2026. The party communicated these figures on Friday 23 October 2026.
Mediapart publishes investigations attributing antisemitic writings to Jordan Bardella
Mediapart published investigations attributing to Jordan Bardella antisemitic writings allegedly contained in private conversations when he was 17 years old.
Marine Le Pen's campaign states she will not shift toward a more security-focused discourse
Marine Le Pen's campaign states that she will not change her discourse to be more security-focused, nor escalate rhetoric on restoring order, despite the violence of 17 October 2026.
Tens of thousands of left-wing counter-protesters are expected in Orléans during the congress
Tens of thousands of left-wing counter-demonstrators are expected in Orléans during the Rassemblement national congress, which takes place amid social tensions.
Jordan Bardella is the sole candidate for re-election as Rassemblement national president
Jordan Bardella is the only candidate for re-election as president of the Rassemblement national at the party congress in Orléans. Formal proclamation of the results is scheduled for Saturday afternoon, and his re-election is expected given the absence of competition.
421 candidates stand for seats on the RN National Council
421 people declared candidacy for the Rassemblement national's National Council, comprising 307 men and 114 women. The 100 best-elected candidates will sit on the council. Jordan Bardella will hold ex officio membership as president and may co-opt 20 additional members. Marine Le Pen is not a candidate in this internal vote.
Marine Le Pen leads voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election
Marine Le Pen leads voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election. She has been a presidential candidate four times.
Jordan Bardella has consistently disputed the Mediapart allegations
Jordan Bardella has consistently disputed the allegations published by Mediapart concerning antisemitic writings attributed to him when he was 17 years old.
Éric Ciotti is scheduled to speak as opening speaker at the RN congress
Éric Ciotti, leader of the Union des droites pour la République (UDR), is scheduled to speak as an opening speaker at the Rassemblement national congress in Orléans.
Violence occurred on 17 October 2026 during a mobilization against the cost of living
Violence occurred on 17 October 2026 on the margins of a mobilization against rising living costs ('la vie chère') in France.
Jordan Bardella is scheduled to address immediate issues and purchasing power measures
Jordan Bardella is scheduled to address immediate issues, including the aftermath of the weekend demonstrations and violence, and to outline measures to support purchasing power at the congress.
Jordan Bardella was first elected RN president in November 2022 with 85% of votes
Jordan Bardella was first elected president of the Rassemblement national in November 2022, receiving 85% of votes against Perpignan mayor Louis Aliot. He had served as interim leader from September 2021. At that time the party had 36,000 members, and 71.5% of them voted.
Marine Le Pen is scheduled to launch her 2027 presidential campaign in Orléans on Sunday
Marine Le Pen is scheduled to hold a rally in Orléans on Sunday 25 October 2026, with around 10,000 attendees expected. The event is set to formally launch her campaign for the 2027 presidential election.
Marion Maréchal is scheduled to attend the congress without speaking
Marion Maréchal is scheduled to attend the Rassemblement national congress in Orléans. She is not scheduled to speak, and she is expected to express her support for Marine Le Pen at a later occasion.
Marine Le Pen continues to present Jordan Bardella as her future Prime Minister
Marine Le Pen continues to present Jordan Bardella as the Prime Minister she would appoint if she wins the presidential election.
Marine Le Pen would receive 70% against Jean-Luc Mélenchon in a second-round poll scenario
In a second-round scenario tested in the Harris Interactive poll conducted 19-21 October 2026, Marine Le Pen received 70% of votes against Jean-Luc Mélenchon for the 2027 French presidential election.
Harris Interactive poll for M6/RTL on 2027 presidential voting intentions published on 23 October 2026
A Harris Interactive poll for M6 and RTL on voting intentions for the 2027 French presidential election was published on 23 October 2026. Fieldwork was conducted online from 19 to 21 October 2026 among 2,094 registered voters aged 18 and over, using the quota method, with a stated margin of error of 1 to 2.3 points.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualifies for the second round in all tested scenarios in poll
In the Harris Interactive poll conducted 19-21 October 2026, Jean-Luc Mélenchon reached the second round in every tested first-round scenario for the 2027 French presidential election.
Gap between Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon widened by 3 points since previous poll wave
Compared with the previous wave of the Harris Interactive barometer published in early October 2026, the second-round gap between Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon widened by 3 points.
David Lisnard polls at 7-8% ahead of Bruno Retailleau at 4-5% in first round
In the Harris Interactive poll conducted 19-21 October 2026, David Lisnard received 7-8% of first-round voting intentions, ahead of Bruno Retailleau at 4-5%, in the two scenarios where Lisnard was tested.
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2 alternative perspectives
Socialist mayor's independent bid deepens left-wing candidacy fragmentation
Socialist mayor Bouamrane's independent candidacy multiplies left-wing candidates, deepening coalition fragmentation.
Left-wing fragmentation deepens as Bouamrane rejects primary, multiplies candidates
Bouamrane's independent left candidacy multiplies left-wing fragmentation despite ongoing unification attempts.
Paris court prepares to rule on RN parliamentary scandal affecting 2027 race
Paris court will rule on RN parliamentary scandal potentially affecting 2027 candidacy eligibility.
Bagayoko's Saint-Denis victory signals local strength amid fractured left
Bagayoko elected Saint-Denis mayor in first round, signaling local strength amid fragmented left coalition.
Socialist Party pushes double primary as Greens remain absent from left talks
Socialist double primary proposal stalls as Green Party participation blocked by party disputes.
Mélenchon launches campaign with star endorsements, polling at 13-15 percent
Mélenchon launches campaign with cultural star support, polling at 13-15 percent in first round.
Mélenchon launches Saint-Denis campaign with Mayor Bagayoko's endorsement
Mélenchon held his first rally in Saint-Denis with backing from the city's new mayor, Bally Bagayoko.
Philippe launches coalition-building campaign with leadership team
Philippe launches 2027 campaign with expanded coalition structure beyond his Horizons party.
Mélenchon seeks left-wing alliances as fourth candidacy solidifies
Mélenchon's 2027 candidacy emphasizes left-wing alliance potential despite persistent coalition fragmentation.
Borne exits Renaissance, signals centrist realignment for 2027
Borne exits Renaissance to lead new centrist party Bâtissons Ensemble, fragmenting the center further.
Philippe to announce 2027 candidacy with Attal withdrawal agreement
Philippe announces 2027 candidacy with Attal withdrawal agreement, expressing concerns about far-left and far-right polarization.