Houthi rebels attack major Saudi refinery as Brent crude rises to $111.33
Houthi rebels attacked a major Saudi refinery as Brent crude climbed 1.8% to $111.33 a barrel.
Event / Economy
Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions and economic outlook for 2026, including interest rate adjustments, inflation management, and economic forecasting.
2026-08-29 to 2026-10-31 · UTC publication dates
Coverage begins 29 Aug, 01:04 UTC
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SK Hynix reported a record operating profit of 83.3 trillion won ($62.8 billion) for the latest quarter, nearly seven times higher than a year earlier and above market estimates. Its shares rose sharply in Seoul on the day of the Fed decision.
The post-meeting statement said inflation remains elevated and economic activity is expanding at a strong pace. It cited resilient domestic spending, strong productivity growth, robust capital investment, and job gains that have kept pace with the workforce.
In September 2026 President Donald Trump set up a committee to examine allegations that Fed Governor Lisa Cook committed mortgage fraud. Cook has denied the allegations. This was a renewed effort to remove her from the Board.
US consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier in September 2026, up from 2.4% in February 2026, just before the Iran war. The consumer price index rose 0.3% month over month in both August and September.
The S&P 500 rose 0.2% in morning trading on the day of the Fed decision, within about 1% of its all-time high set earlier in October 2026.
US economic growth for the July-September 2026 quarter is forecast to reach 3%, up from 2.2% in the April-June quarter. The government is scheduled to publish the figure on Thursday.
The Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-2 to leave the federal funds rate unchanged. Two members dissented, each favoring a 25-basis-point increase.
In June 2026 the Supreme Court ruled that Fed Governor Lisa Cook could keep her job while litigation over her removal by the Trump administration continued.
Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose 1.8% to $111.33 a barrel amid continued uncertainty over developments in the Middle East.
South Korea's Kospi index closed at 6,012.44 after rising 6.6%, led by a surge in SK Hynix shares.
Iran-backed Houthi rebels attacked a major refinery in Saudi Arabia during the week of the Fed decision, contributing to higher oil prices.
The Federal Reserve held its benchmark federal funds rate steady in the target range of 3.75% to 4% at its October 2026 meeting, after raising the rate by 25 basis points in September.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the Fed has no soft or implicit inflation target. He stated the price stability target is 2%, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index.
The average 30-year mortgage rate reached a three-year high of 7.4% earlier in October 2026 before slipping somewhat. Higher mortgage rates have made buying a home unaffordable for an estimated 5 million additional Americans since the start of 2026.
Wall Street investors had priced in a federal funds rate hike at the Fed's December 2026 meeting, according to futures market pricing.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 4.99% on the morning of the decision. It had earlier in October reached above 5.30%, its highest level since 2002, before pulling back.
Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against holding rates steady and in favor of raising the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. It was Cook's first dissent since she joined the Board of Governors in 2022.
The US unemployment rate was 4.2% at the time of the decision, while hiring has been sluggish.
Starting in 2027, the FOMC will hold eight meetings per year. One 2027 meeting will focus exclusively on broad monetary policy strategy, with no rate vote or policy statement anticipated. Warsh said 2028 is expected to include two strategy meetings and six policy meetings.
The Fed's decision came six days before the US midterm elections. The campaign has focused heavily on cost of living and affordability concerns.
Houthi rebels attacked a major Saudi refinery as Brent crude climbed 1.8% to $111.33 a barrel.
Kospi rose 6.6% alongside SK Hynix's record profit, while the S&P 500 neared its all-time high before the Fed decision.
US mortgage rates reached a three-year high of 7.4%, while the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.99%.
Futures markets now price in a December 2026 Fed rate hike as September inflation reached 3.7%.
The Supreme Court let Lisa Cook keep her Fed post during litigation as a separate mortgage fraud review proceeds.
The Fed held rates at 3.75% to 4% on a 10-2 vote, with two dissenters favoring a hike.
Fed officials signal one more rate hike this year as inflation persists above 2% target despite softening employment.
September inflation surged to 3.7% as energy costs spiked, though the Fed projects 2027-2028 decline.
Rising mortgage rates and housing fees pressure consumers, threatening retail spending momentum despite labor market resilience.
Trump's Russian diesel deal and Iran war tensions push Brent crude to $106.95.
Inflation resurgence pushes Federal Reserve toward additional rate increases despite weakening employment.
September's weak job gains and rising unemployment signal labor market cooling amid persistent inflation pressures.